Professionals Now Talk About FORECASTING Earthquakes ? ! WOW REALLY
In a first-of-its-kind finding, researchers note that large quakes off Japan’s northeastern coast are often presaged by subtle movements on submarine fault zones. Although these speedups in slippage along submarine faults, discernable by GPS equipment onshore, will not enable researchers to make a “We’re gonna have a magnitude 7.3 quake next Thursday at 3:37 P.M.” sort of prediction, they do provide insights into general patterns of seismic activity in the region and may ultimately give scientists a better understanding of what is happening along fault zones.
The researchers sorted through the listing of quakes that occurred before 2011 along the northeastern coast of Honshu and southeastern coast of Hokkaido, Japan’s two largest islands, where tectonic forces slowly shove the western edge of the North American Plate beneath the Eurasian Plate and create a seafloor feature called the Japan Trench, linked to earthquakes and tsunamis in the region. From that list, which along the central stretch of coast includes data for quakes as far back as 1984, the team identified more than 1,500 sequences in which quakes seemed to repeat themselves over time, occurring at the same place with more or less the same magnitude, says the study’s lead author Naoki Uchida, a geophysicist at Tohoku University in Japan. From the magnitude and frequency of those temblors, he and his colleagues were able to estimate the rates at which the tectonic plates were sliding past each other at each site. In some places the rates surged and stalled in three-year cycles, with speeds ranging from zero (when the faults were locked) to, at peak speed, nearly four times normal, the researchers report in this week’s Science.
Then, the team looked at how those varying rates of slippage might be statistically correlated with other, nonrepeating quakes in the region whose magnitudes were magnitude 5 or larger. They found that in many instances the rates of inferred slippage accelerated in the days leading up to nearby quakes, Uchida says. Thus, the team’s analysis suggests that gradual slippage along the tectonic interface shifts the seismic stress that is building up along the fault into nearby areas, where it eventually triggers a sudden slip—otherwise known as a quake.
Analyses of data gathered by onshore GPS stations, which over the long term reveal the movements of the tectonic plate on which they’re mounted, show that their motions generally match the inferred rates of slippage along offshore faults. So, in a rough sense, the movements of the GPS equipment may presage impending quakes, Uchida says.
The team’s research “is quite solid and presents some exciting conclusions,” says Jeffrey Freymueller, a geophysicist at the University of Alaska, Fairbanks who was not part of the study. It stands to reason, he notes, that if the slippage along the tectonic interface offshore is periodic, then the seismic stress building up nearby where large quakes occur will be periodic as well. “Many people have speculated that this should be the case but this paper is the most convincing evidence yet,” Freymueller says.
The findings “are potentially a powerful tool” to probe what’s happening along the region’s submarine faults, says Paul Segall, a geophysicist at Stanford University, also not involved with the research. He admits, however, “this is kind of a provocative result, in the realm of things that are suggestive.” Whether the analysis offers anything that is relevant toward earthquake prediction is yet to be seen, he adds.
Although the statistical linkage discovered by Uchida and his colleagues suggests that an increase in tectonic slippage precedes nearby quakes, it is possible that another phenomenon entirely could be causing both, says Manoochehr Shirzaei, a geophysicist at Arizona State University in Tempe. For example, an increase in the fluid pressure within the rocks of the fault itself (a parameter known as pore pressure) could be decreasing friction within the fault and thus lubricating it, triggering both the accelerated slippage in one area and the quake nearby. He and his colleagues are now investigating that notion, and others, to see if they can discern what’s going on in the faults off Japan and whether that might relate to what happens at similar tectonic interfaces elsewhere in the world.
“The answers may help scientists better understand how a subduction zone behaves,” Shirzaei says. “No one really knows how the system works.”
How to forecast an earthquake.. December 15, 2014
(I’ve been meaning to make this post for a while)
Major stress has built upon the edge of the craton over the past 7 days, multiple 4.0M+ events in Oklahoma, Nevada, and off the West coast.
The pressure placed upon the unsubducted “edge” of the plate has now resulted in a 2.9M (3.0M) earthquake in North Carolina, along the Blue Ridge mountains.
This was expected.
Expected? How? Why? Who was expecting it?
To begin, I can answer the who portion right off the bat. The “who” would be myself, as well as my viewers (and readers) who have been studying these events real-time for the past several years.
Now, lets get into the why, and how.
First things first, you might be asking why the “professionals” are not forecasting earthquakes 3-7 days out.
They (professionals) still DENY that earthquakes transfer from one location to another!! However, as most of my viewers and readers know, we have been able to FORECAST several earthquakes using this new knowledge of “pressure transfer” across vast distances.
Professionals still in denial over something I’m using to forecast where to expect earthquakes to happen in a weeks time or less. 3-7 days warning time can be achieved!
I knew to watch North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia based upon the movement happening in Oklahoma, Nevada, and off the West coast.
This isn’t guesswork, you can know for certain, that when pressure is placed on a relatively solid object on one side , the object being pressed will move in the opposite direction from which the pressure is coming.
Like plates of ice , cracked, floating on a lake. if you push one plate, it will push the plate next to it. Now imagine those plates are closely butted up against one another, with not much area to “move” laterally.
The pressure will build upon the entire structure of the plate while trying to evenly distribute itself throughout the mass. The stress will find the weakest points , and release at those points. The “edge” of the craton is the defining line between the “solid” plate, and the weaker “deformed” edge.
Instead of crack and mounds of ice along an ice sheet fracture zone, the rock formations of the fractured plate have formed mountain ranges along the weak inner edge of the craton for eons, thus the mountains of the United States are now confirmed to literally be plate material forced UPWARDS via pressure which COMES FROM THE WEST, when subduction is not capable of keeping up with the tectonic pressure from the Pacific plate, the pressure does indeed TRANSFER across vast distances in a short amount of time (days or less – even hours in some cases).
January 2012, the craton edge is revealed by earthquakes. Excessive activity along the West coast, caused by excessive activity in the far West Pacific. The plates of the planet seen in the diagram are all being displaced by the Pacific unrest event (global surge).
When the pressure “transfers” across the solid mass of the solid portions of the plate, it finds weak points to release , such as fracking operation injection wells, oil drilling locations, hot springs, dormant volcanoes, and even some deep mining locations.
The fracking operations, oil drilling ops, dormant volcanoes, and deep mines act like perforation points, where the pressure is releasing.
No doubt, at this point I can say for certain, the rolling foothills of the New Madrid seismic zone can also now be confirmed to be caused by past built pressure, causing a BUCKLING in the plate, and massive earthquakes in the midwestern United States.
The new drilling / fracking operations are acting like a relief valve along the center portion of the craton. Normally (naturally) the pressure coming from the West (in the past) would have been placed on the center of the craton (in missouri and the new madrid seismic zone).
Now the fracking operations , drilling operations are “weak points” extending a few miles down into the crust — like perforations in a cardboard box, weak points where bending / breaking can occur.
Notice the THOUSANDS of 3.0 – 5.0M earthquakes which have occurred during the past few years in Oklahoma, Arkansas, Texas, Kansas, and Colorado — ALL occurring unexpectedly , and all occurring at fracking operations.
Notice the hundreds of 3.0-4.0M earthquakes at the dormant volcanoes along the deformed edge of the craton in Nevada, Arizona, Idaho, Wyoming, California, and even at a dormant volcano / extinct volcano in Georgia!.
Notice the movement of Yellowstone region , moving 1/2inch SOUTHEAST (pushed SE along the edge of the craton).
The uplift of the magma chambers, the movement of the craton edge, and the multiple earthquake swarms associated with each location proves that the pressure is coming from the WEST, unlike modern day geology thought , which says one earthquake does NOT lead to another, and that the spread of the Midatlantic ridge is what causes mountains to form in the Americas.
The “subduction” process is not keeping up with the movement associated with the Pacific Plate unrest event which has been occurring since before the 2011 Japan megaquake.
The DOZENS of unexpected large volcanic eruptions (globally in diverse areas), and also the rumbling of ancient volcanoes in Scotland, Russia (moscow), and Mono Lake (california) proves the unrest event is indeed global.
This “unrest event” (as I’m calling it) was referred to as a “Global Surge” by professionals a few months ago in Vancouver Canada at the annual geophysics meeting. Professionals ARE acknowledging a surge in global large earthquake events. But say they are puzzeled as to “why” it is occurring.
They obviously don’t know that this “global surge” or “unrest event” is being caused DIRECTLY by a deep disturbance in the Asthenosphere, which centers around Vanuatu – West to the Indo-Australian plate boundary, North to Japan, and EAST across the entire Pacific plate to Central / South America.
Repeatedly, we see deep earthquakes in the 4.0M-5.0M range , occurring at approximately 300-400 miles depth. The area inside the Earth known as the Asthenosphere.
These repeat 4-5M earthquakes will happen back and forth, between the West Pacific, and South America / Central America.
Both locations (West and East Pacific) having multiple large volcanic eruptions , some at normally quiet volcanoes. The unrest in the Asthenosphere (350 miles deep), ALWAYS is shortly followed by larger shallower earthquakes (within approximately 1 week or less).
If you see a cluster of deep earthquakes, watch the nearby adjacent area for a large shallow earthquake — as “compensation movement / pressure transfer” . The larger shallow earthquakes usually occur to the NW of the asthenosphere (deep EQ) swarm locations.
For instance, usually after we see a swarm of deep events in Papua New Guinea, we see a larger shallow earthquake strike NW in the Philippines or Japan.
Another example, usually after we see a swarm of deep events along the Chile/Argentina border, we see a larger shallow earthquake strike NW in Peru to central America.
The unrest event happens back and forth like a tennis match, as the pressure comes from deep within the Earth (from a yet unknown source) the transfer of the force must be causing a displacement of the Pacific plate from ‘beneath’.
The area beneath the plates, above the liquid molten core of the Earth, the semi-melt area known as the “Asthenosphere” is the interacting point between the fluid, and the solid. This area is having earthquakes due to some internal force causing a displacement on the semi melt.
The semi-melt then must be displacing the upper more rigid plate, which subsequently causes displacement across vast distances on the PLATE BOUNDARIES around the entire planet.
Finally, this leads us back to the United States craton pressure coming from the NW pushing to the SE.
Now you can understand why we’re seeing earthquakes at fracking operations, dormant volcanoes, ancient volcanoes, extinct volcanoes… why multiple new eruptions are happening… why entire areas are being uplifted in a short amount of time… and why the “professionals” are going to have to re-write most of their textbooks, and give me a shoutout finally in a footnote for discovering all this on my own in my spare time while also working on weather, solar, and even false flag information.
Cheers, and feel free to run this by any “professional” you wish. After years of watching this happen, I think its high time that I explained the process in text, and how you can repeat it.
Again, watch for deep asthenosphre earthquakes, then watch the areas nearby / adjacent of those deep swarms for shallow large movement.
In the USA, watch for pressure from the West showing as mulitple 3.0M to upper 5.0M earthquakes off the West Coast. Then watch the craton edge as the pressure transfers across WA, OR, ID, MT, NV, AZ, UT, CO, WY, KS, OK, TX and watch the events terminate at the Arkansas border.
You will quickly see that the pressure which “terminates” at the Arkansas border finally releases itself via 1-2 events on the East coast US along the edge of the plate.
One final real life example. In 2011, the 5.9M earthquake which hit Virginia , causing damage on the East coast of the United States — that earthquake was PRECEDED by a 5.0M earthquake at the Colorado fracking operation, and multiple 4.0M earthquakes along the edge of the craton in WY, CO, OK, and AR.
Pressure transfer is real, it happens virtually REAL TIME, and it is the first step towards accurately, scientifically forecasting an earthquake multiple days before it occurs — getting it down to a specific region to watch over a specific short time. 3-7 days or less from the point of the pressure showing itself via a swarm.
Currently, today (December 15, 2014), there are two main swarm locations, an old Volcanic fissure in Nevada, and the Oklahoma fracking operations. The pressure has NOW released itself on the East portion of the craton (in North Carolina).
This means we need to watch the WEST COAST in the area NW of the Nevada swarm for a single larger earthquake, now that the pressure has released to the East, we can expect a new push from the West over the next 2-3 days.
Then, after the push from the West occurs, watch for a quick flurry of 3.0M to upper 4.0M earthquakes in Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.
This should all happen over the next 7 days or less.
Here are a few video examples of past forecast hits: